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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Thu 30/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1763 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.43m/s 476 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 30/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2099 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.75m/s 539 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 30/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2103 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.53m/s 496 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 30/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1869 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.78m/s 349 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 31/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1100 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.82m/s 357 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

52.5km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 31/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2242 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.7m/s 529 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to -1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

70.2km downwind XC or 23.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 31/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

0.85m/s 167 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 7.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34km downwind XC or 16 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 31/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.83m/s 163 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

19km downwind XC or 4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 01/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 0kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1552 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.24m/s 439 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 01/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1712 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.43m/s 476 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 01/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1981 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.36m/s 463 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 01/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1605 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.65m/s 323 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 02/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1170 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.91m/s 374 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 02/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1665 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.37m/s 465 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 02/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1648 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.16m/s 423 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 02/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1365 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.5m/s 294 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 03/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

927 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.5m/s 294 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

27.75km downwind XC or 7.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 03/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1509 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.03m/s 398 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34.2km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 03/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

3054 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.4m/s 470 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to -0.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

42.75km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 03/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 22.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 04/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1286 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.45m/s 480 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 04/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1705 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.96m/s 580 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 04/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.99m/s 194 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

19.5km downwind XC or 3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 04/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1060 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.5m/s 294 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

32.4km downwind XC or 10.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 05/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.83m/s 163 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9.75km downwind XC or 1.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 05/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.9m/s 176 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

10km downwind XC or 1 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 05/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 54kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 05/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.64m/s 125 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9km downwind XC or 3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 06/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

918 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.7m/s 333 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

82.5km downwind XC or 45 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 06/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1109 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.93m/s 378 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 5.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 06/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1090 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.62m/s 318 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

61.2km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 06/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1070 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.39m/s 272 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

42km downwind XC or 16.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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