Wecome to the Muppet Forecast!

WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Thu 17/04/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1039 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.79m/s 351 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 17/04/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1368 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.16m/s 423 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 17/04/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2261 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.21m/s 433 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

83.2km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 17/04/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 18/04/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1019 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.74m/s 341 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 18/04/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1484 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.24m/s 439 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 18/04/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1502 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.89m/s 370 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 18/04/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 19/04/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1041 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.79m/s 351 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 19/04/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1364 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.13m/s 417 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 19/04/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1485 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.82m/s 357 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

67.2km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 19/04/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 12.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 20/04/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1051 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.79m/s 351 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 20/04/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

737 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.16m/s 227 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64km downwind XC or 40 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 20/04/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1040 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.47m/s 288 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 20/04/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 21/04/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1173 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.91m/s 374 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 21/04/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1208 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.3m/s 255 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

51km downwind XC or 24 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 21/04/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1123 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.66m/s 325 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 7.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 21/04/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(E) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 10.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 22/04/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1553 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.19m/s 429 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

52.5km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 22/04/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1769 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.41m/s 472 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 22/04/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1418 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.83m/s 359 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

33.3km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 22/04/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 9.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 23/04/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(E) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1210 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.97m/s 386 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 23/04/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(E) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1388 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.17m/s 425 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 23/04/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1116 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.65m/s 323 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 7.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34.2km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 23/04/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 9.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 24/04/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 0kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1264 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.96m/s 384 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 24/04/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1735 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.35m/s 461 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 24/04/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 24/04/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 11.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

Cached copy, generated 17:59--------->>>>>> Click to Refresh <<<<<<--------