Wecome to the Muppet Forecast!

WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Wed 08/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1004 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.8m/s 353 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 08/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1397 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.08m/s 408 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34.2km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 08/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1368 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.58m/s 310 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

22.8km downwind XC or 4.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 08/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

857 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.25m/s 245 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

19km downwind XC or 4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 10/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1221 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.11m/s 414 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34.2km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 10/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1664 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.57m/s 504 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 10/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1748 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.41m/s 472 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

36km downwind XC or 3.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 10/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1717 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.69m/s 331 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

23.4km downwind XC or 3.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 11/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

870 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.42m/s 278 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

27.75km downwind XC or 7.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 11/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

979 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.33m/s 261 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

19km downwind XC or 4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 11/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1266 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.3m/s 451 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

45.6km downwind XC or 9.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 11/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1523 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.91m/s 374 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34.2km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 12/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1389 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.34m/s 459 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 12/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1608 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.7m/s 529 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 12/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1684 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.4m/s 470 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 12/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1461 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.8m/s 353 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 12/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

858 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.23m/s 241 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

27km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 12/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1664 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.83m/s 555 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -6.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 12/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1837 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.72m/s 533 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -7.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 12/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1518 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.91m/s 374 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

45.6km downwind XC or 9.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 13/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1285 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.21m/s 433 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 13/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1345 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.35m/s 461 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 13/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1395 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.22m/s 435 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 13/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1233 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.6m/s 314 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 14/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1236 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.08m/s 408 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 14/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1510 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.43m/s 476 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 14/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1758 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.43m/s 476 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

94.5km downwind XC or 37.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 14/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 15/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1274 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.3m/s 451 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

45.6km downwind XC or 9.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 15/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1537 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.64m/s 517 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 15/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1356 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.46m/s 482 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 15/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1374 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.88m/s 368 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

35.1km downwind XC or 5.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....