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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Sun 01/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

857 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.33m/s 261 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 01/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

979 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.49m/s 292 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

82.5km downwind XC or 45 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 01/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.04m/s 204 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 7.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

56km downwind XC or 35 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 01/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 02/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

854 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.3m/s 255 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 02/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1094 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.58m/s 310 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

86.4km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 02/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.07m/s 210 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 6.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57.75km downwind XC or 31.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 02/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 03/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

931 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.49m/s 292 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57.75km downwind XC or 31.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 03/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1136 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.74m/s 341 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 03/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.57m/s 112 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

17km downwind XC or 8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 03/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 04/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1206 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.87m/s 367 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -5.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34.2km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 04/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1366 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.02m/s 396 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -5.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 04/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1168 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.48m/s 290 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

33.3km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 04/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

2 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1021 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.62m/s 318 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

61.2km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1131 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.72m/s 337 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

837 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.17m/s 229 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66km downwind XC or 36 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

4 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

914 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.46m/s 286 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

59.5km downwind XC or 28 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1074 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.66m/s 325 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.13m/s 221 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34km downwind XC or 16 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.96m/s 188 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

18km downwind XC or 6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1071 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.59m/s 312 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34.2km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

843 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.39m/s 272 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

20km downwind XC or 2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1274 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.52m/s 298 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

24.6km downwind XC or 1.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 54kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.25m/s 49 ft/min

Temperature

5 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9km downwind XC or 3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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