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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Wed 04/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1210 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.05m/s 402 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 04/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2283 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.08m/s 604 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93.6km downwind XC or 31.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 04/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2733 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

3.19m/s 625 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 0.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.9km downwind XC or 27.3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 04/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2838 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.66m/s 521 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

70.2km downwind XC or 23.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1256 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.07m/s 406 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2559 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

3.2m/s 627 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

70.2km downwind XC or 23.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2998 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

3.28m/s 643 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to -1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

84.175km downwind XC or 22.75 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2927 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.66m/s 521 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to -0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.9km downwind XC or 27.3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1170 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2m/s 392 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

79.2km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2011 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.89m/s 566 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

70.2km downwind XC or 23.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

3097 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

3.31m/s 649 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to -1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.25km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2846 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.61m/s 512 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 1.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

49.4km downwind XC or 10.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1204 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.99m/s 390 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 15 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

61.2km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1838 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.75m/s 539 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 11.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2956 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

3.24m/s 635 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63.375km downwind XC or 9.75 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

3004 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.55m/s 500 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1608 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.42m/s 474 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2366 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.14m/s 615 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1878 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.65m/s 323 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

79.2km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1185 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.86m/s 365 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

94.5km downwind XC or 37.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 09/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1301 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.13m/s 417 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 09/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1654 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.23m/s 437 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 09/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

0.52m/s 102 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 17.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

24.75km downwind XC or 13.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 09/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

0.45m/s 88 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 17.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

24.75km downwind XC or 13.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 10/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1182 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.03m/s 398 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 10/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1799 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.75m/s 539 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 10/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2562 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.08m/s 604 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

113.75km downwind XC or 45.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 10/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2454 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.48m/s 486 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

79.625km downwind XC or 31.85 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 11/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1335 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.19m/s 429 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 11/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1798 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.75m/s 539 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 11/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1978 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.8m/s 549 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 11/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1670 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.15m/s 421 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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