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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Mon 30/12/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1566 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.48m/s 486 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 30/12/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1990 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.92m/s 572 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 30/12/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2220 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.89m/s 566 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 30/12/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2313 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.4m/s 470 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 01/01/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1559 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.5m/s 490 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 01/01/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2190 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

3.07m/s 602 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105.3km downwind XC or 35.1 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 01/01/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2271 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.95m/s 578 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93.6km downwind XC or 31.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 01/01/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1967 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.31m/s 453 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 02/01/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1568 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.5m/s 490 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 02/01/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1804 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.84m/s 557 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 02/01/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2044 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.85m/s 559 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 02/01/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1915 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.31m/s 453 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 03/01/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1332 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.32m/s 455 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 03/01/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1759 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.8m/s 549 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

94.5km downwind XC or 37.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 03/01/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2318 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.97m/s 582 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 03/01/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2403 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.44m/s 478 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

104km downwind XC or 65 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 03/01/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1383 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.36m/s 463 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 03/01/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1785 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.81m/s 551 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 03/01/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2084 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.84m/s 557 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 03/01/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2083 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.35m/s 461 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 04/01/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1180 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.05m/s 402 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 04/01/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2321 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.03m/s 594 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 04/01/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2599 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3m/s 588 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 04/01/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2484 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.24m/s 439 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 5.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91km downwind XC or 36.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 05/01/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1241 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.04m/s 400 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 15.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

89.1km downwind XC or 48.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 05/01/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2109 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.84m/s 557 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 9.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.4km downwind XC or 41.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 05/01/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2966 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.11m/s 610 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 2.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91km downwind XC or 36.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 05/01/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

3178 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.59m/s 508 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 1.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.875km downwind XC or 36.75 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 06/01/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1027 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.82m/s 357 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 18.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

43.2km downwind XC or 14.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 06/01/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2428 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.84m/s 557 ft/min

Temperature

34 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 9.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

49.4km downwind XC or 10.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 06/01/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 65kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

34 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 27.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 06/01/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 26.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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