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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Fri 09/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1105 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.8m/s 353 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 09/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1252 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.96m/s 384 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 09/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1099 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.46m/s 286 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 09/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 10/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1061 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.71m/s 335 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 10/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1252 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.91m/s 374 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 10/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1081 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.41m/s 276 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 10/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 11/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1099 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.76m/s 345 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 11/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1346 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.99m/s 390 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 11/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1298 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.54m/s 302 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 11/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 12/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1300 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.92m/s 376 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 12/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1808 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.29m/s 449 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 12/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1721 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.76m/s 345 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 12/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 13/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1051 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.67m/s 327 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 13/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1606 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.16m/s 423 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 13/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1469 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.63m/s 319 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 13/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 14/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1148 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.78m/s 349 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 14/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1395 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.02m/s 396 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 14/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1150 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.45m/s 284 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 14/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 15/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1098 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.74m/s 341 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 15/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1315 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.95m/s 382 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 15/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1133 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.42m/s 278 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 15/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 16/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

975 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.63m/s 319 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

76.5km downwind XC or 36 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 16/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1068 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.76m/s 345 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 16/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

914 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.3m/s 255 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

43.75km downwind XC or 17.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 16/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....