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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Wed 19/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1321 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.28m/s 447 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 19/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1762 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.69m/s 527 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 19/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1829 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.52m/s 494 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 19/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1716 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.9m/s 372 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 20/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1389 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.25m/s 441 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 20/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1717 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.62m/s 514 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

84km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 20/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2004 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.68m/s 525 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99.45km downwind XC or 46.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 20/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1207 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.81m/s 355 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66.6km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 21/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1728 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.56m/s 502 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 21/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1987 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.82m/s 553 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 21/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2070 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.67m/s 523 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

100.75km downwind XC or 71.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 21/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1999 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.06m/s 404 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 0 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 22/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1234 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.12m/s 416 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 5.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 22/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1589 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.37m/s 465 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 22/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1729 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.52m/s 494 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

94.5km downwind XC or 37.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 22/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1465 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.84m/s 361 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

61.2km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 23/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

877 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.36m/s 267 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

42.5km downwind XC or 20 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 23/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1030 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.46m/s 286 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

89.1km downwind XC or 48.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 23/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1555 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.29m/s 449 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 23/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1388 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.7m/s 333 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 24/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1157 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.9m/s 372 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 24/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1508 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.3m/s 451 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 24/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1903 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.34m/s 459 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 24/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1782 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.73m/s 339 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

79.2km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 25/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1028 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.76m/s 345 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 25/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2291 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.67m/s 523 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

49.4km downwind XC or 10.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 25/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2455 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.43m/s 476 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 5.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

39.975km downwind XC or 1.95 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 25/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1533 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.28m/s 251 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

23.4km downwind XC or 3.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 26/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1440 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.22m/s 435 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 26/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1764 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.66m/s 521 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 26/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1730 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.64m/s 517 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 26/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1312 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.62m/s 318 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

35.1km downwind XC or 5.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....