Wecome to the Muppet Forecast!

WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Wed 12/03/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1155 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.93m/s 378 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 12/03/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1522 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.44m/s 478 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 12/03/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1755 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.47m/s 484 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 12/03/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1765 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.9m/s 372 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 13/03/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1080 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.81m/s 355 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 13/03/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1983 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.74m/s 537 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 13/03/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2497 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.88m/s 564 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

70.2km downwind XC or 23.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 13/03/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1925 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.51m/s 296 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

42km downwind XC or 16.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 14/03/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1005 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.68m/s 329 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 16 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

69.3km downwind XC or 37.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 14/03/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2175 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.81m/s 551 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

70.2km downwind XC or 23.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 14/03/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2360 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.75m/s 539 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 6.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

72.15km downwind XC or 19.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 14/03/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2212 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.99m/s 390 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 7.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

56.875km downwind XC or 22.75 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 15/03/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

883 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.49m/s 292 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 18.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

43.75km downwind XC or 17.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 15/03/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2472 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.9m/s 568 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 6.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

60.125km downwind XC or 16.25 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 15/03/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2733 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.87m/s 563 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 4.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

61.75km downwind XC or 13 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 15/03/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2588 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.01m/s 394 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 6.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 15.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 16/03/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1126 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.79m/s 351 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 15.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

43.2km downwind XC or 14.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 16/03/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1454 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.57m/s 308 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 15.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

24.6km downwind XC or 1.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 16/03/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 68kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2140 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.84m/s 361 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 8.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

28.6km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 16/03/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 72kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 22.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 17/03/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1248 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.28m/s 447 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

36.9km downwind XC or 1.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 17/03/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1560 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.72m/s 533 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

58.5km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 17/03/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1583 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.62m/s 514 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 17/03/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1476 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.08m/s 408 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 18/03/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 0kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1258 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.04m/s 400 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 18/03/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1620 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.57m/s 504 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 18/03/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1660 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.45m/s 480 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 18/03/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1535 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.78m/s 349 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 19/03/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

970 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.65m/s 323 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 9.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 19/03/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1469 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.34m/s 459 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 19/03/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1749 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.4m/s 470 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 19/03/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1595 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.67m/s 327 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....