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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Wed 07/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1220 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.06m/s 404 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 15.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 07/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2723 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

3.21m/s 629 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 4.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102.375km downwind XC or 40.95 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 07/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

3281 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.29m/s 645 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 07/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

3153 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.61m/s 512 ft/min

Temperature

34 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 2.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

78.75km downwind XC or 31.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 08/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1116 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.92m/s 376 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 18.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 08/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

3194 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

3.4m/s 666 ft/min

Temperature

35 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 3.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.25km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 08/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

4099 m Great height for flying XC. 10,000ft day!!! Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

3.55m/s 696 ft/min

Temperature

37 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to -4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.125km downwind XC or 11.25 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 08/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

35 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 28.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 09/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1600 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.36m/s 463 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 16 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34.2km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 09/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 65kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

3560 m Great height for flying XC. 10,000ft day!!! Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

3.63m/s 711 ft/min

Temperature

36 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.5km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 09/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 65kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

4069 m Great height for flying XC. 10,000ft day!!! Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

3.65m/s 715 ft/min

Temperature

37 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to -3.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.5km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 09/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 68kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

3717 m Great height for flying XC. 10,000ft day!!! Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.82m/s 553 ft/min

Temperature

37 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to -0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

48.375km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 10/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1240 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.16m/s 423 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 10/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1264 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.24m/s 439 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

45.6km downwind XC or 9.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 10/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1724 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.66m/s 521 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

48km downwind XC or 4.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 10/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1488 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.04m/s 400 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

45.6km downwind XC or 9.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 11/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1359 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.49m/s 488 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 11/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1683 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.9m/s 568 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

111km downwind XC or 30 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 11/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1688 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.77m/s 543 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

111km downwind XC or 30 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 11/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1604 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.28m/s 447 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.7km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 12/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1458 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.45m/s 480 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 12/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1836 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.84m/s 557 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 12/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2245 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.03m/s 594 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 12/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2363 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.54m/s 498 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 13/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1836 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.66m/s 521 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 13/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2007 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.15m/s 421 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

104km downwind XC or 65 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 13/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2087 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.88m/s 368 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

104km downwind XC or 65 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 13/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2092 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.49m/s 488 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

117km downwind XC or 39 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 14/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1476 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.44m/s 478 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 14/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1687 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.57m/s 504 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

97.2km downwind XC or 32.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 14/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1499 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.63m/s 515 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

79.8km downwind XC or 16.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 14/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1213 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.05m/s 402 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

36km downwind XC or 3.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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