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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Thu 11/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2025 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.73m/s 535 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 11/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2255 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.55m/s 500 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 11/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2319 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.51m/s 492 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

100.75km downwind XC or 71.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 11/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1403 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.98m/s 388 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

86.4km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 12/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1508 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.44m/s 478 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 12/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1577 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.59m/s 312 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

51km downwind XC or 24 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 12/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2393 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.96m/s 580 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 0.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 12/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2235 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.36m/s 463 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 13/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.13m/s 221 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 11.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 13/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1041 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.56m/s 306 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 7.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

79.2km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 13/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

873 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.45m/s 284 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 9.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

35km downwind XC or 14 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 13/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1112 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.77m/s 347 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

897 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.59m/s 312 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

37km downwind XC or 10 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1703 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.73m/s 535 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1781 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.73m/s 535 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1438 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.15m/s 421 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1290 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.35m/s 461 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66.6km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1518 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.69m/s 527 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.8km downwind XC or 24 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1607 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.64m/s 517 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66.6km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1415 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.07m/s 406 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1301 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.26m/s 443 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1558 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.6m/s 510 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1809 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.63m/s 515 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1742 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.11m/s 414 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1297 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.17m/s 425 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

89.1km downwind XC or 48.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1742 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.65m/s 519 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1938 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.61m/s 512 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1795 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2m/s 392 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1379 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.15m/s 421 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

61.2km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2030 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.77m/s 543 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

70.2km downwind XC or 23.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2315 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.75m/s 539 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 7.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

72.15km downwind XC or 19.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2418 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.11m/s 414 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 7.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

56.875km downwind XC or 22.75 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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