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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Mon 23/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.93m/s 182 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

18.5km downwind XC or 5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 23/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.49m/s 96 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9.25km downwind XC or 2.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 23/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0.17m/s 33 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 23/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 65kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 25/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.68m/s 133 ft/min

Temperature

3 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9.25km downwind XC or 2.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 25/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.12m/s 220 ft/min

Temperature

4 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

18km downwind XC or 6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 25/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.74m/s 145 ft/min

Temperature

3 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

18.5km downwind XC or 5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 25/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.2m/s 39 ft/min

Temperature

3 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9km downwind XC or 3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 26/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1035 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.6m/s 314 ft/min

Temperature

5 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

40.8km downwind XC or 19.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 26/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1260 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.74m/s 341 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -5.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

42km downwind XC or 16.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 26/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.13m/s 221 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

26.25km downwind XC or 10.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 26/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

2 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 27/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

833 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.28m/s 251 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.5km downwind XC or 55 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 27/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.08m/s 212 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 27/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.13m/s 221 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 27/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

3 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 27/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 0kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

843 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.3m/s 255 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.5km downwind XC or 55 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 27/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1149 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.54m/s 302 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 27/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 0kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

0.12m/s 24 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

31km downwind XC or 22 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 27/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 28/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

916 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.36m/s 267 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.5km downwind XC or 55 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 28/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1146 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.62m/s 318 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 28/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.02m/s 200 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

82.5km downwind XC or 45 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 28/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 29/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

900 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.34m/s 263 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.5km downwind XC or 55 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 29/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 0kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1412 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.77m/s 347 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

90km downwind XC or 72 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 29/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1148 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.25m/s 245 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 29/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 30/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 30/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.64m/s 125 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

17.5km downwind XC or 7 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 30/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.31m/s 61 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

8.5km downwind XC or 4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 30/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(E) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....