Wecome to the Muppet Forecast!

WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Wed 30/10/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1068 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.89m/s 370 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 30/10/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1337 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.26m/s 443 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 5.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

84km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 30/10/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1621 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.3m/s 451 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 30/10/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1445 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.62m/s 318 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

52.5km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 31/10/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1573 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.38m/s 466 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 31/10/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2237 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.96m/s 580 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

79.625km downwind XC or 31.85 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 31/10/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2149 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.71m/s 531 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -3.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

74.1km downwind XC or 15.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 31/10/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1697 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.03m/s 398 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 01/11/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1525 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.46m/s 482 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 01/11/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1765 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.71m/s 531 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 01/11/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1901 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.55m/s 500 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 01/11/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1731 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.87m/s 367 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 02/11/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1199 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.13m/s 417 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

52.5km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 02/11/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1589 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.53m/s 496 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 02/11/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1790 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.42m/s 474 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 02/11/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1605 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.72m/s 337 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

61.2km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 03/11/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

954 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.69m/s 331 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

20km downwind XC or 2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 03/11/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 83kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2430 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

2.59m/s 508 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

29.9km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 03/11/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 79kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2789 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

2.42m/s 474 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 0.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

28.6km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 03/11/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.08m/s 212 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 18.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

19km downwind XC or 4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 04/11/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1073 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.91m/s 374 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 7.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

84km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 04/11/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1302 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.21m/s 433 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

84km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 04/11/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1450 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.18m/s 427 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

86.4km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 04/11/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1376 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.66m/s 325 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 05/11/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1578 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.39m/s 468 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 05/11/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1782 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.29m/s 449 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 05/11/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1963 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.26m/s 443 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 05/11/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 06/11/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1353 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.23m/s 437 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 06/11/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1675 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.63m/s 515 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 06/11/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1764 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.36m/s 463 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 06/11/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1617 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.94m/s 380 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....