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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Sat 20/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1127 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.88m/s 368 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 20/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1468 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.22m/s 435 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 20/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1473 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.83m/s 359 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 20/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 21/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

949 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.66m/s 325 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 5.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

82.5km downwind XC or 45 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 21/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1124 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.89m/s 370 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 21/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1002 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.47m/s 288 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 21/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 22/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1070 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.79m/s 351 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

89.1km downwind XC or 48.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 22/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1199 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.96m/s 384 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 22/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1088 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.53m/s 300 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

61.2km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 22/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 23/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1163 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.9m/s 372 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 23/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1537 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.25m/s 441 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 23/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1497 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.83m/s 359 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 23/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 9.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 24/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1236 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.15m/s 421 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 24/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

831 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.18m/s 231 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

27km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 24/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.7m/s 137 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

17.5km downwind XC or 7 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 24/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.23m/s 45 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

8.75km downwind XC or 3.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 25/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1154 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.89m/s 370 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 25/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.98m/s 192 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

18km downwind XC or 6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 25/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1448 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.72m/s 337 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34.2km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 25/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

4 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 26/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 0kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1234 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.99m/s 390 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 26/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1478 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.24m/s 439 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 26/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1443 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.82m/s 357 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 26/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 27/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1075 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.82m/s 357 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 27/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1300 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.07m/s 406 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 27/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1199 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.63m/s 319 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 27/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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