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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Thu 21/11/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1186 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.07m/s 406 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 21/11/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1791 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.65m/s 519 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

84km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 21/11/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2250 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.79m/s 547 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 21/11/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2212 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.04m/s 400 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

90.675km downwind XC or 64.35 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 22/11/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1174 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.99m/s 390 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 22/11/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1789 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.58m/s 506 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 22/11/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2720 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.84m/s 557 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to -0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 22/11/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2252 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.01m/s 394 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

104km downwind XC or 65 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 23/11/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1126 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.9m/s 372 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 23/11/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2305 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.83m/s 555 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 23/11/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2269 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.79m/s 351 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

85.8km downwind XC or 46.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 23/11/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2703 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.1m/s 412 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

72.8km downwind XC or 45.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 24/11/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1114 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.88m/s 368 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 24/11/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

3019 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

3.12m/s 612 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to -0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

74.25km downwind XC or 40.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 24/11/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

3290 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.96m/s 580 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to -1.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

69.375km downwind XC or 18.75 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 24/11/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2861 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.07m/s 406 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

49.4km downwind XC or 10.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 25/11/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1200 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.96m/s 384 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 15 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 25/11/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2801 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.97m/s 582 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

70.2km downwind XC or 23.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 25/11/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

3078 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.57m/s 504 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 25/11/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1926 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.27m/s 249 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 11.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

22.2km downwind XC or 6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 26/11/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1061 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.76m/s 345 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

52.5km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 26/11/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1362 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.06m/s 404 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 26/11/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1303 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.87m/s 367 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 26/11/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.25m/s 49 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 11.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9km downwind XC or 3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 27/11/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

0.94m/s 184 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 12.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

48km downwind XC or 30 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 27/11/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

0.9m/s 176 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 27/11/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1659 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.45m/s 480 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 27/11/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 28/11/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1648 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.45m/s 480 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 28/11/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2214 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.93m/s 574 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 28/11/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2166 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.71m/s 531 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

104km downwind XC or 65 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 28/11/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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