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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Wed 05/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1377 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.18m/s 427 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 05/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1931 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.8m/s 549 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 05/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2707 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.11m/s 610 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 2.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.4km downwind XC or 41.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 05/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2565 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.51m/s 492 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

113.75km downwind XC or 45.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 06/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1290 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.19m/s 429 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 06/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2009 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.89m/s 566 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.4km downwind XC or 41.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 06/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2426 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.98m/s 584 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 5.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102.375km downwind XC or 40.95 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 06/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2322 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.36m/s 463 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 6.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.4km downwind XC or 41.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 07/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1068 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.83m/s 359 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 16.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 07/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2421 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.03m/s 594 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 6.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.4km downwind XC or 41.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 07/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

3169 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.16m/s 619 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 1.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 07/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2711 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.14m/s 419 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 5.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

70.2km downwind XC or 23.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 08/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1360 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.21m/s 433 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 08/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2494 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

3.18m/s 623 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99.45km downwind XC or 46.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 08/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2786 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

3.18m/s 623 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102.375km downwind XC or 40.95 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 08/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2685 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.51m/s 492 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.9km downwind XC or 27.3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 09/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1330 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.29m/s 449 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 09/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1405 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.5m/s 490 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.7km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 09/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1376 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.49m/s 488 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

58.5km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 09/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1019 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.81m/s 355 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34.2km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 10/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1401 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.33m/s 457 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 10/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1822 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.87m/s 563 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 10/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1911 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.84m/s 557 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 10/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1724 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.28m/s 447 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 11/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1161 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.02m/s 396 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 11/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1629 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.64m/s 517 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 11/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2149 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.87m/s 563 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 11/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2208 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.37m/s 465 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 12/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1172 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2m/s 392 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 12/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1521 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.49m/s 488 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 12/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1771 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.56m/s 502 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

84km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 12/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1808 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.03m/s 398 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 11.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....