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Mount Bakewell Area

Sat 31/10/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1401 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.85m/s 559 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 15.99 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

68.4km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WNW . The wind on the top launches will be from WNW at 32kph gusting to 42kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 31/10/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1271 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.79m/s 547 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 16.29 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

58.5km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 36kph gusting to 46kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 31/10/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1013 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.26m/s 443 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 16.87 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 36kph gusting to 44kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 31/10/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.02m/s 200 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 19.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

19.5km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 36kph gusting to 40kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 01/11/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

756 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.29m/s 449 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 10.44 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

74km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SW . The wind on the top launches will be from SW at 25kph gusting to 33kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 42%.


 

Sun 01/11/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.94m/s 184 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 12.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

17.5km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 25kph gusting to 28kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 01/11/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

582 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.84m/s 361 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 11.18 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

37km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 29kph gusting to 36kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 01/11/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

0.84m/s 165 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 14.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

25.5km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WNW . The wind on the top launches will be from WNW at 22kph gusting to 25kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 02/11/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1628 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.46m/s 482 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.72 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66.6km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NW . The wind on the top launches will be from NW at 29kph gusting to 38kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 02/11/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

756 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.59m/s 312 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 11.44 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

37km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from N . The wind on the top launches will be from NNW at 29kph gusting to 35kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 02/11/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1004 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.49m/s 292 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.96 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

45.6km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 32kph gusting to 37kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 02/11/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1098 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.74m/s 341 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.02 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 32kph gusting to 38kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 03/11/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1233 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.82m/s 553 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.67 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

97.2km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from S . The wind on the top launches will be from S at 22kph gusting to 32kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 65%.


 

Tue 03/11/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1458 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.98m/s 584 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.42 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

108km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from S . The wind on the top launches will be from S at 22kph gusting to 33kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 58%.


 

Tue 03/11/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1450 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.66m/s 521 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

97.2km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from S . The wind on the top launches will be from S at 22kph gusting to 32kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 83%.


 

Tue 03/11/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1103 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.71m/s 335 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.97 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from S . The wind on the top launches will be from S at 25kph gusting to 31kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 150%.


 

Wed 04/11/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1146 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.74m/s 537 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.54 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

86.4km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 25kph gusting to 35kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 42%.


 

Wed 04/11/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1408 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.92m/s 572 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.92 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 22kph gusting to 33kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 50%.


 

Wed 04/11/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1545 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.66m/s 521 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.55 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 18kph gusting to 28kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 67%.


 

Wed 04/11/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1275 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.65m/s 323 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.25 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 22kph gusting to 28kph . Ridge soaring will be possible.. The chance of it being magic is 153%.


 

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

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