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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Wed 08/02/2023 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1514 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.23m/s 437 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 08/02/2023 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2140 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.87m/s 563 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 08/02/2023 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2404 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.87m/s 563 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

104km downwind XC or 65 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 08/02/2023 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

0.59m/s 116 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 17.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

33km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 09/02/2023 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1292 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.09m/s 410 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 09/02/2023 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1882 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.72m/s 533 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 09/02/2023 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2345 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.77m/s 543 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 09/02/2023 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1565 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2m/s 392 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 10/02/2023 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1255 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.05m/s 402 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 10/02/2023 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1889 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.72m/s 533 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 10/02/2023 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2410 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.85m/s 559 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102.375km downwind XC or 40.95 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 10/02/2023 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2364 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.26m/s 443 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

68.25km downwind XC or 27.3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 11/02/2023 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

976 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.66m/s 325 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 15.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

35km downwind XC or 14 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 11/02/2023 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1668 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.47m/s 484 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 11/02/2023 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

3006 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

3m/s 588 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 0.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.25km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 11/02/2023 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2904 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.13m/s 417 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

37.05km downwind XC or 7.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 12/02/2023 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1185 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.95m/s 382 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 12/02/2023 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1602 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.53m/s 496 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 12/02/2023 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1517 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.41m/s 472 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 12/02/2023 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1079 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.72m/s 337 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 13/02/2023 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

0.84m/s 165 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 11.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

49.5km downwind XC or 27 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 13/02/2023 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.14m/s 223 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 13/02/2023 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

0.94m/s 184 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64km downwind XC or 40 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 13/02/2023 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 14/02/2023 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1077 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.52m/s 298 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 7.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

86.4km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 14/02/2023 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1543 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.39m/s 468 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 14/02/2023 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.09m/s 214 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

74.25km downwind XC or 40.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 14/02/2023 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1193 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.33m/s 261 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 15/02/2023 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1317 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.21m/s 433 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 5.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 15/02/2023 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1633 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.63m/s 515 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 15/02/2023 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1759 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.59m/s 508 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 15/02/2023 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1704 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.06m/s 404 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions