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Mount Bakewell Area

Fri 28/02/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

6

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.76m/s 149 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 25.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

17km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 22kph gusting to 25kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 28/02/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

5

Thermal Height

606 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.73m/s 339 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 23.94 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

30km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NE . The wind on the top launches will be from NE at 43kph gusting to 49kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 28/02/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

5

Thermal Height

525 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.56m/s 306 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 26.75 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

21.5km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 50kph gusting to 56kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 28/02/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

4

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.03m/s 202 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 30.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

19km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 36kph gusting to 40kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 29/02/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

3

Thermal Height

649 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.9m/s 372 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 18.51 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

59.5km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 18kph gusting to 25kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 29/02/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

5

Thermal Height

1174 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.5m/s 490 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 17.26 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

86.4km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 22kph gusting to 31kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 29/02/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

3

Thermal Height

1288 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.45m/s 480 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 17.12 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.7km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 29kph gusting to 38kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 29/02/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

2

Thermal Height

875 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.72m/s 337 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 18.25 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

38km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 29kph gusting to 35kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 01/03/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

8

Thermal Height

758 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.14m/s 419 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 16.42 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

30.75km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 47kph gusting to 55kph . Ridge soaring will be possible.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 01/03/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

6

Thermal Height

1209 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.62m/s 514 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 16.91 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

50.4km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 50kph gusting to 59kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 01/03/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

6

Thermal Height

1950 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.84m/s 557 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 11.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

49.2km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 47kph gusting to 57kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 01/03/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

7

Thermal Height

1671 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.01m/s 394 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 14.29 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

38.7km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 54kph gusting to 61kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 02/03/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

6

Thermal Height

1052 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.45m/s 480 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 15.48 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

49.2km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 43kph gusting to 52kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 02/03/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

4

Thermal Height

1340 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.75m/s 539 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 15.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

48km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 43kph gusting to 53kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 02/03/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

2

Thermal Height

1493 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.62m/s 514 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 16.07 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

48km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 40kph gusting to 49kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 02/03/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

2

Thermal Height

1358 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.92m/s 376 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 17.42 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

36km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 43kph gusting to 50kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 03/03/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

4

Thermal Height

786 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.15m/s 421 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 18.14 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.25km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 29kph gusting to 37kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 03/03/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

3

Thermal Height

1060 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.46m/s 482 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 18.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 25kph gusting to 34kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 03/03/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

4

Thermal Height

1364 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.46m/s 482 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 17.36 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 18kph gusting to 27kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 03/03/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

3

Thermal Height

1335 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.78m/s 349 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 18.65 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 14kph gusting to 20kph . Ridge soaring will be unwise.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.