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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Sat 13/05/2023 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1147 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.66m/s 325 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 13/05/2023 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1436 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.9m/s 372 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 13/05/2023 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1240 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.39m/s 272 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 13/05/2023 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 0kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/05/2023 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1028 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.55m/s 304 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/05/2023 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1468 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.94m/s 380 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/05/2023 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1333 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.46m/s 286 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/05/2023 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/05/2023 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1004 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.53m/s 300 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/05/2023 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1519 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.99m/s 390 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/05/2023 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1236 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.44m/s 282 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

61.2km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/05/2023 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/05/2023 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

932 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.54m/s 302 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

43.75km downwind XC or 17.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/05/2023 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1158 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.83m/s 359 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/05/2023 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.5m/s 98 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9km downwind XC or 3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/05/2023 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/05/2023 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1371 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.03m/s 398 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -6.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/05/2023 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1655 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.22m/s 435 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -7.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/05/2023 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1501 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.68m/s 329 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

52.5km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/05/2023 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

3 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/05/2023 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1138 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.82m/s 357 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

52.5km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/05/2023 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

0.86m/s 169 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

26.25km downwind XC or 10.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/05/2023 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

0.9m/s 176 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

26.25km downwind XC or 10.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/05/2023 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

3 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 19/05/2023 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

903 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.51m/s 296 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

74.25km downwind XC or 40.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 19/05/2023 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

0.83m/s 163 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

33km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 19/05/2023 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

924 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.33m/s 261 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

42.5km downwind XC or 20 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 19/05/2023 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

5 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 20/05/2023 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

998 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.63m/s 319 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66km downwind XC or 36 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 20/05/2023 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

826 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.17m/s 229 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

49.5km downwind XC or 27 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 20/05/2023 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

0.65m/s 127 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

25.5km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 20/05/2023 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions