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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Mon 15/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1373 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.46m/s 482 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

86.4km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1619 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.79m/s 547 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

84km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1805 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.78m/s 545 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1503 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.14m/s 419 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66.6km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1342 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.3m/s 451 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1792 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.78m/s 545 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1964 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.75m/s 539 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1964 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.24m/s 439 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1276 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.21m/s 433 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1763 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.73m/s 535 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2001 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.72m/s 533 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1960 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.16m/s 423 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1300 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.11m/s 414 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

89.1km downwind XC or 48.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2760 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.19m/s 625 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93.6km downwind XC or 31.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2958 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

3.08m/s 604 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102.375km downwind XC or 40.95 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2862 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.44m/s 478 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

113.75km downwind XC or 45.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 19/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1351 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.14m/s 419 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 19/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1821 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.61m/s 512 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 19/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1960 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.61m/s 512 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 19/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1917 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.16m/s 423 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

52.5km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 20/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1045 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.9m/s 372 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 20/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1694 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.63m/s 515 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

94.5km downwind XC or 37.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 20/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2570 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.95m/s 578 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 5.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.4km downwind XC or 41.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 20/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2985 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.42m/s 474 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 2.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.35km downwind XC or 35.1 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 21/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1135 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.02m/s 396 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 21/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1460 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.42m/s 474 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 15.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 21/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2472 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.89m/s 566 ft/min

Temperature

34 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 9.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

68.25km downwind XC or 27.3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 21/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

3333 m Great height for flying XC. 10,000ft day!!! Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.57m/s 504 ft/min

Temperature

36 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 2.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

65.625km downwind XC or 26.25 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 22/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1124 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.03m/s 398 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 22/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1356 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.48m/s 486 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 22/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1601 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.55m/s 500 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 22/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1648 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.15m/s 421 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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