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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Fri 12/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1374 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.2m/s 431 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 12/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1530 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.37m/s 465 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 12/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1535 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.01m/s 394 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 12/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 13/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1474 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.26m/s 443 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 13/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1623 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.42m/s 474 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 13/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1576 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.01m/s 394 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 13/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 9.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1346 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.17m/s 425 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1540 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.37m/s 465 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1522 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2m/s 392 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1544 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.33m/s 457 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1679 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.95m/s 382 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1671 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.81m/s 355 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1422 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.21m/s 433 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1722 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.48m/s 486 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1635 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.05m/s 402 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1758 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.43m/s 476 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1911 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.15m/s 421 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -2.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1699 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.72m/s 337 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1579 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.3m/s 451 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1783 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.5m/s 490 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1753 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.07m/s 406 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 18/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 19/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1728 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.37m/s 465 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 19/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1721 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.78m/s 349 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

89.1km downwind XC or 48.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 19/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1730 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.04m/s 400 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 19/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 10.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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