Wecome to the Muppet Forecast!

Mount Bakewell Area

Sun 17/01/2021 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1454 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

3.09m/s 606 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.46 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

60km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 40kph gusting to 51kph In a ENE (70) Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 17/01/2021 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1720 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

3.33m/s 653 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 13.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.9km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 36kph gusting to 48kph In a ENE (68) Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 17/01/2021 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1951 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.17m/s 621 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 12.49 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.8km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 29kph gusting to 40kph In a ENE (72) Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 17/01/2021 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1896 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.37m/s 465 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 14.04 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66.6km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 29kph gusting to 38kph In a ENE (77) Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 17/01/2021 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1397 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

3.04m/s 596 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.03 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

60km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 40kph gusting to 51kph In a ENE (72) Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 17/01/2021 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1691 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

3.3m/s 647 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 14.09 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.9km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 36kph gusting to 48kph In a ENE (71) Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 17/01/2021 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1979 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.18m/s 623 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 13.21 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.8km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 29kph gusting to 40kph In a ENE (73) Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 17/01/2021 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1922 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.38m/s 466 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 13.78 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.7km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 25kph gusting to 34kph In a E (80) Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 19/01/2021 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2265 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

3.53m/s 692 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 10.35 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

86.45km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NE . The wind on the top launches will be from NE at 32kph gusting to 45kph In a NE (49) Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 19/01/2021 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

3045 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.72m/s 729 ft/min

Temperature

36 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 5.55 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

108km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from N . The wind on the top launches will be from N at 25kph gusting to 38kph In a N (359) Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 19/01/2021 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2911 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.77m/s 543 ft/min

Temperature

36 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 6.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

79.625km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from N . The wind on the top launches will be from NNW at 22kph gusting to 32kph In a N (350) Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 19/01/2021 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

36 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 33.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from N . The wind on the top launches will be from N at 22kph gusting to 22kph In a N (1) Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 20/01/2021 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1621 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.14m/s 615 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 16.79 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

86.4km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 25kph gusting to 36kph In a W (273) Ridge soaring will be ... possible on the West face. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 20/01/2021 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1946 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

3.44m/s 674 ft/min

Temperature

34 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 14.54 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102.6km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 29kph gusting to 41kph In a WSW (254) Ridge soaring will be ... possible on the West face. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 20/01/2021 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2097 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.26m/s 639 ft/min

Temperature

35 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 14.03 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

101.4km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 36kph gusting to 48kph In a WSW (249) Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 20/01/2021 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1569 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.34m/s 459 ft/min

Temperature

34 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 18.31 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

60km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from SW at 40kph gusting to 48kph In a WSW (241) Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 21/01/2021 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1095 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.73m/s 535 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 19.05 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

97.2km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 22kph gusting to 32kph In a SE (128) Ridge soaring will be ... possible on the main face. The chance of it being magic is 62%.


 

Thu 21/01/2021 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1867 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.34m/s 655 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 14.33 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 18kph gusting to 30kph In a SE (132) Ridge soaring will be ... possible on the main face. The chance of it being magic is 75%.


 

Thu 21/01/2021 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2256 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.26m/s 639 ft/min

Temperature

35 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 12.44 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 14kph gusting to 26kph In a SE (144) Ridge soaring will be ... possible on the main face. The chance of it being magic is 83%.


 

Thu 21/01/2021 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2088 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.42m/s 474 ft/min

Temperature

36 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 15.12 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSE . The wind on the top launches will be from SSE at 14kph gusting to 23kph In a SSE (157) Ridge soaring will be ... possible on the main face. The chance of it being magic is 83%.


 

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Cached copy, generated 11:44