Wecome to the Muppet Forecast!

Mount Bakewell Area

Mon 25/05/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

76kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

649 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

1.56m/s 306 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.51 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

11.5km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 76kph gusting to 82kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 25/05/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

54kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

68kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

749 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.66m/s 325 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 6.51 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

22.5km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 68kph gusting to 74kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 25/05/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.49m/s 96 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 9.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

10km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 58kph gusting to 60kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 25/05/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

72kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 8.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 58kph gusting to 58kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 26/05/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.02m/s 200 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 9.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNE . The wind on the top launches will be from NE at 7kph gusting to 11kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 26/05/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

0.9m/s 176 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 11.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

56km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNW . The wind on the top launches will be from NNW at 7kph gusting to 10kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 26/05/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

430 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.22m/s 239 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 10.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.5km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNE . The wind on the top launches will be from N at 7kph gusting to 11kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 26/05/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 10.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNE . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 7kph gusting to 7kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 27/05/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

887 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.8m/s 353 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.13 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

37km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NW . The wind on the top launches will be from NW at 29kph gusting to 35kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 27/05/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

979 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.46m/s 286 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.21 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

27.75km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NW . The wind on the top launches will be from NW at 29kph gusting to 34kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 27/05/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.64m/s 125 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 14.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9.25km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NW . The wind on the top launches will be from NW at 29kph gusting to 31kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 27/05/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 12.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NW . The wind on the top launches will be from WNW at 32kph gusting to 32kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 28/05/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

616 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.56m/s 306 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 10.84 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

19.5km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNW . The wind on the top launches will be from NNW at 40kph gusting to 46kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 28/05/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1125 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.02m/s 396 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 7.75 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

36.9km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNW . The wind on the top launches will be from NW at 47kph gusting to 54kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 28/05/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 15.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NW . The wind on the top launches will be from NW at 47kph gusting to 47kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 28/05/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 13.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NW . The wind on the top launches will be from NW at 47kph gusting to 47kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 29/05/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 10.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 47kph gusting to 47kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 29/05/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

811 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.63m/s 319 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 5.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

20km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 43kph gusting to 49kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 29/05/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

0.65m/s 127 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 5.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

24.75km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSW . The wind on the top launches will be from SSW at 29kph gusting to 31kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 29/05/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 5.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from SSW at 29kph gusting to 29kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.