Wecome to the Muppet Forecast!

Mount Bakewell Area

Sun 09/08/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

83kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 8.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNW . The wind on the top launches will be from N at 40kph gusting to 40kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 09/08/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0.26m/s 51 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 9.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from N . The wind on the top launches will be from N at 61kph gusting to 62kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 09/08/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.71m/s 139 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 10.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

10.25km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from N . The wind on the top launches will be from N at 50kph gusting to 53kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 09/08/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 11.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNW . The wind on the top launches will be from NNW at 32kph gusting to 32kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 09/08/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

61kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

83kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

415 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

1.17m/s 229 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 10.85 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

11.75km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from N . The wind on the top launches will be from N at 76kph gusting to 80kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 09/08/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

72kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 11.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from N . The wind on the top launches will be from N at 54kph gusting to 54kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 09/08/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

61kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 12.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NW . The wind on the top launches will be from WNW at 47kph gusting to 47kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 09/08/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

72kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 9.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NW . The wind on the top launches will be from NW at 54kph gusting to 54kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 10/08/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.95m/s 186 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 11.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9.75km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WNW . The wind on the top launches will be from WNW at 43kph gusting to 46kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 10/08/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 11.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WNW . The wind on the top launches will be from WNW at 54kph gusting to 54kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 10/08/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

481 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

1.26m/s 247 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 10.19 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

10km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 50kph gusting to 55kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 10/08/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

61kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 10.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WNW . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 47kph gusting to 47kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 11/08/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.11m/s 218 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 11.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

19km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 36kph gusting to 40kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 11/08/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

650 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.67m/s 327 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

27.75km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 32kph gusting to 38kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 11/08/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

490 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.27m/s 249 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 10.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

19.5km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 43kph gusting to 48kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 11/08/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 9.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 40kph gusting to 40kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 12/08/2020 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.93m/s 182 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 10.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

18km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SW . The wind on the top launches will be from SW at 25kph gusting to 28kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 12/08/2020 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.44m/s 86 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 10.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9.25km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SW . The wind on the top launches will be from SW at 32kph gusting to 34kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 12/08/2020 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

916 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.64m/s 321 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4.84 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

37km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 32kph gusting to 38kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 12/08/2020 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 9.89 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km XC Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 29kph gusting to 29kph . Ridge soaring will be exciting.. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

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