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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Tue 24/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.51m/s 100 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9.75km downwind XC or 1.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 24/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.83m/s 163 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

10km downwind XC or 1 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 24/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 68kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 24/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 72kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

5 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 26/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

819 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.21m/s 237 ft/min

Temperature

4 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

56km downwind XC or 35 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 26/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

0.9m/s 176 ft/min

Temperature

5 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

25.5km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 26/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.79m/s 155 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

17km downwind XC or 8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 26/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

1 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -5.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 26/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1035 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.6m/s 314 ft/min

Temperature

5 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

40.8km downwind XC or 19.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 26/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1260 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.74m/s 341 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -5.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

42km downwind XC or 16.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 26/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.13m/s 221 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

26.25km downwind XC or 10.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 26/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

2 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 27/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

833 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.28m/s 251 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.5km downwind XC or 55 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 27/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.08m/s 212 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 27/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.13m/s 221 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 27/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

3 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 28/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

921 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.37m/s 269 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.5km downwind XC or 55 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 28/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1239 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.7m/s 333 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 28/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

969 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.2m/s 235 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 28/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 0kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 29/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

804 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.22m/s 239 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.5km downwind XC or 55 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 29/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1303 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.69m/s 331 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 29/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.13m/s 221 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57.75km downwind XC or 31.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 29/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

5 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 30/06/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

836 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.25m/s 245 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

42.5km downwind XC or 20 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 30/06/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1502 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.7m/s 333 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 30/06/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(E) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.13m/s 221 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 30/06/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(E) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 01/07/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

992 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.43m/s 280 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 01/07/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1501 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.87m/s 367 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 01/07/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 01/07/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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