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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Thu 06/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1346 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.2m/s 431 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 06/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1635 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.5m/s 490 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 06/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1594 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.26m/s 443 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 06/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1340 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.45m/s 284 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 5.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

40.8km downwind XC or 19.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 07/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

903 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.51m/s 296 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 10 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

27.75km downwind XC or 7.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 07/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1367 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.04m/s 400 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34.2km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 07/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 54kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2821 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.3m/s 451 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to -3.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

38.025km downwind XC or 5.85 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 07/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.94m/s 184 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 19.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9.25km downwind XC or 2.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 08/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1296 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.98m/s 388 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 08/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1675 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.55m/s 500 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 08/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1599 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.52m/s 494 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66.6km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 08/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.76m/s 149 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

18km downwind XC or 6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 09/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1357 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.07m/s 406 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 09/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1654 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.79m/s 547 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.7km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 09/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1739 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.49m/s 488 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66.6km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 09/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1543 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.02m/s 396 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 10/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1455 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.41m/s 472 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 10/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1680 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.68m/s 525 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 10/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1763 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.55m/s 500 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 10/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1663 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.97m/s 386 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 11/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1479 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.46m/s 482 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 11/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1891 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

3.05m/s 598 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -5.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 11/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1111 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.94m/s 380 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

37.8km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 11/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1564 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.2m/s 431 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -5.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

36km downwind XC or 3.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 12/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1407 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.46m/s 482 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -5.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 12/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1539 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.65m/s 519 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 12/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1655 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.56m/s 502 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

94.5km downwind XC or 37.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 12/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1563 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.01m/s 394 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 13/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1547 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.39m/s 468 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 13/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2093 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.79m/s 547 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -3.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

60.125km downwind XC or 16.25 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 13/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2757 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.83m/s 555 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -9.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

49.4km downwind XC or 10.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 13/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1687 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.3m/s 255 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

23.4km downwind XC or 3.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....