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VIC, Mystic Area

Sat 23/10/2021 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

0.64m/s 125 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 7.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

25.5km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 23/10/2021 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1187 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.79m/s 351 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 5.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

61.2km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 23/10/2021 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1311 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.18m/s 427 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 23/10/2021 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.85m/s 167 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 9.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

18.5km downwind XC or 5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 24/10/2021 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1246 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.32m/s 455 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 24/10/2021 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1638 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.7m/s 529 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 24/10/2021 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1774 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.57m/s 504 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -5.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 24/10/2021 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1691 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.94m/s 380 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 25/10/2021 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1411 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.36m/s 463 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 25/10/2021 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1621 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.58m/s 506 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

84km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 25/10/2021 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1818 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.52m/s 494 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 25/10/2021 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1574 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.85m/s 363 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 26/10/2021 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1425 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.2m/s 431 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 26/10/2021 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1228 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.36m/s 267 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 26/10/2021 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1650 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.05m/s 402 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 26/10/2021 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

0.38m/s 74 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 10.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

32km downwind XC or 20 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 27/10/2021 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1173 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.92m/s 376 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 5.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

89.1km downwind XC or 48.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 27/10/2021 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1412 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.21m/s 433 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 27/10/2021 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1428 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.04m/s 400 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 27/10/2021 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

975 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.25m/s 245 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

51km downwind XC or 24 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 28/10/2021 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

854 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.41m/s 276 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

27km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 28/10/2021 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1217 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.89m/s 370 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

43.2km downwind XC or 14.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 28/10/2021 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.92m/s 180 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

18.5km downwind XC or 5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 28/10/2021 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 16.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 29/10/2021 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

934 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.52m/s 298 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57.75km downwind XC or 31.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 29/10/2021 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1481 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.61m/s 512 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

86.4km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 29/10/2021 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1940 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.68m/s 525 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

86.4km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 29/10/2021 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1777 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2m/s 392 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66.6km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 30/10/2021 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1703 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.6m/s 510 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 30/10/2021 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2093 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.97m/s 582 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -8.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 30/10/2021 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2197 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.83m/s 555 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

113.75km downwind XC or 45.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 30/10/2021 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1783 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.97m/s 386 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -5.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.