Wecome to the Muppet Forecast!

WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Wed 12/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1498 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.2m/s 431 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 12/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1999 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.59m/s 508 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 12/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1728 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.76m/s 345 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 12/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1798 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.55m/s 304 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 13/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1085 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.91m/s 374 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

45.6km downwind XC or 9.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 13/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1725 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.64m/s 517 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 13/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2135 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.75m/s 539 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

60.125km downwind XC or 16.25 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 13/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2117 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.15m/s 421 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

48.1km downwind XC or 13 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 14/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.63m/s 123 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

17.5km downwind XC or 7 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 14/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1354 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.36m/s 463 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 14/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1699 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.53m/s 496 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 14/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1894 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.16m/s 423 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 15/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1348 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.34m/s 459 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

45.6km downwind XC or 9.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 15/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1477 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.77m/s 543 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 15/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1528 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.26m/s 443 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 15/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1576 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.11m/s 414 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

52.5km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 16/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1365 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.36m/s 463 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 16/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1697 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.8m/s 549 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

97.2km downwind XC or 32.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 16/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1746 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.73m/s 535 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.8km downwind XC or 24 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 16/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1419 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.09m/s 410 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 17/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1238 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.12m/s 416 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 17/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1531 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.56m/s 502 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 17/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1651 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.52m/s 494 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 17/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1591 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.03m/s 398 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 18/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1224 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.03m/s 398 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 18/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1840 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.72m/s 533 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 18/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2222 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.84m/s 557 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to -0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 18/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2172 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.31m/s 453 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

113.75km downwind XC or 45.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 19/02/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1394 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.22m/s 435 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 19/02/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1648 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.61m/s 512 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 19/02/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1853 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.64m/s 517 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 19/02/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1793 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.12m/s 416 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

Cached copy, generated 15:52--------->>>>>> Click to Refresh <<<<<<--------