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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Mon 12/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1310 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.32m/s 455 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 12/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1765 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.86m/s 561 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 12/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2329 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.09m/s 606 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 12/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2499 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.62m/s 514 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

104km downwind XC or 65 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 14/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1674 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.56m/s 502 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 14/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2117 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.03m/s 594 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 14/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2365 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.02m/s 592 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 14/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2392 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.53m/s 496 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 15/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1215 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.76m/s 345 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 15/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2378 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.27m/s 641 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 15/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1619 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.66m/s 521 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66.6km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 15/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.74m/s 145 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

18.5km downwind XC or 5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 16/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1108 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.18m/s 427 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

36.9km downwind XC or 1.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 16/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1500 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.71m/s 531 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.2km downwind XC or 19.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 16/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1178 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.48m/s 290 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

69.3km downwind XC or 37.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 16/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 12.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 17/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 61kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

917 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

1.26m/s 247 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

10.5km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 17/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 65kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1351 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

2.31m/s 453 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

25.8km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 17/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 65kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1410 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.49m/s 488 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

38.7km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 17/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 65kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1265 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

2.08m/s 408 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

25.2km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 18/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 54kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 65kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1016 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.96m/s 384 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 7.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

27km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 18/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1257 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.44m/s 478 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

38.7km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 18/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1609 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.66m/s 521 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

48km downwind XC or 4.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 18/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1450 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.18m/s 427 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

36km downwind XC or 3.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 19/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1780 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.62m/s 514 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 19/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1730 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.14m/s 419 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 19/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1436 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.1m/s 412 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 19/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

903 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.19m/s 233 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66km downwind XC or 36 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 19/01/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1653 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.59m/s 508 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 19/01/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2163 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.13m/s 613 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 19/01/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2372 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.12m/s 612 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 19/01/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1978 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.46m/s 482 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.8km downwind XC or 24 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....