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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Thu 13/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1328 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.19m/s 429 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 13/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 61kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2287 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.84m/s 557 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to -2.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

39.975km downwind XC or 1.95 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 13/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 65kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

3039 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.84m/s 557 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to -8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

47.25km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 13/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 65kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2304 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.58m/s 310 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to -1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

26.65km downwind XC or 1.3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 14/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1369 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.26m/s 443 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 14/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1680 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.59m/s 508 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 14/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1789 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.48m/s 486 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 14/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1725 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.94m/s 380 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 15/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1084 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.93m/s 378 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

35.1km downwind XC or 5.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 15/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2416 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.97m/s 582 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to -0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

39km downwind XC or 3.9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 15/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2513 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.57m/s 504 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to -0.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

40.95km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 15/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2083 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.65m/s 323 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

26km downwind XC or 2.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 16/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1520 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.56m/s 502 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 16/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1595 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.84m/s 361 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34.2km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 16/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1899 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.83m/s 555 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

58.5km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 16/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1570 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.64m/s 321 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

33.3km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 17/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1371 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.78m/s 349 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 17/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1939 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.99m/s 586 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -6.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.7km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 17/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2094 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.92m/s 572 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -6.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

84.175km downwind XC or 22.75 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 17/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1736 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.23m/s 437 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 18/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1249 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.19m/s 429 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 18/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1566 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.58m/s 506 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 18/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1466 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.88m/s 368 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 18/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1579 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.95m/s 382 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 19/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

872 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.21m/s 237 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 5.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

49.5km downwind XC or 27 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 19/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1636 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.68m/s 525 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 19/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1865 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.61m/s 512 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 19/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1730 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.04m/s 400 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 20/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1668 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.83m/s 555 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -5.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 20/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2077 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.1m/s 608 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -7.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 20/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2288 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.11m/s 610 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -8.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

117km downwind XC or 39 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 20/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1912 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.37m/s 465 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -6.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

68.4km downwind XC or 14.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....