Wecome to the Muppet Forecast!

WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Fri 17/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1395 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.15m/s 421 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 17/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1594 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.43m/s 476 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 17/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1593 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.28m/s 447 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 17/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1448 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.68m/s 329 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

43.2km downwind XC or 14.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 18/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1351 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.19m/s 429 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 18/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1564 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.44m/s 478 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 18/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1576 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.24m/s 439 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 18/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1296 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.51m/s 296 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 19/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1035 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.79m/s 351 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 5.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 19/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1246 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.09m/s 410 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 19/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1283 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.94m/s 380 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 19/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

0.72m/s 141 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

24.75km downwind XC or 13.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 20/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

916 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.53m/s 300 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

35km downwind XC or 14 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 20/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1208 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.91m/s 374 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 20/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1529 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.68m/s 329 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

31.5km downwind XC or 12.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 20/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 16.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 21/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1034 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.71m/s 335 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 21/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1082 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.72m/s 337 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

52.5km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 21/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1225 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.64m/s 321 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

33.3km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 21/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 61kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 21.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 22/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.9m/s 176 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

10km downwind XC or 1 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 22/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1085 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.42m/s 278 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

33.3km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 22/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1576 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.46m/s 482 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 22/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1386 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.88m/s 368 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

45.6km downwind XC or 9.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 23/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1445 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.32m/s 455 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 23/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1636 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.52m/s 494 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 23/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1787 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.47m/s 484 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -2.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 23/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1646 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.78m/s 349 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 24/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1255 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.13m/s 417 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 24/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1376 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.31m/s 453 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

94.5km downwind XC or 37.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 24/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1421 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.17m/s 425 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 24/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1241 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.54m/s 302 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

61.2km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....