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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Thu 27/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1411 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.53m/s 496 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 27/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1733 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.83m/s 555 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -2.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 27/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1822 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.7m/s 529 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

58.5km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 27/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1730 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.13m/s 417 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

45.6km downwind XC or 9.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 28/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1477 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.38m/s 466 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 28/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1825 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.74m/s 537 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 28/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2232 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.72m/s 533 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to -1.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

60.125km downwind XC or 16.25 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 28/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2086 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.82m/s 357 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

37.05km downwind XC or 7.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 29/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

889 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.57m/s 308 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

36km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 29/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1590 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.12m/s 416 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 29/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1315 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.46m/s 286 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

33.3km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 29/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1576 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.07m/s 406 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 30/11/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1289 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.37m/s 465 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 30/11/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1483 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.63m/s 515 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 30/11/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1660 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.6m/s 510 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 30/11/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1605 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.08m/s 408 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

45.6km downwind XC or 9.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 01/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1484 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.54m/s 498 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 01/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1830 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

3.2m/s 627 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -6.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

49.2km downwind XC or 2.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 01/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 54kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1970 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

3.03m/s 594 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -6.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

49.2km downwind XC or 2.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 01/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 54kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1648 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.78m/s 349 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -3.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

24.6km downwind XC or 1.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 02/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1729 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.67m/s 523 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -6.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 02/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1899 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.2m/s 627 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.8km downwind XC or 24 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 02/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2086 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.04m/s 596 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -7.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93.6km downwind XC or 31.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 02/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.66m/s 129 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

18.5km downwind XC or 5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 03/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1282 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.28m/s 447 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 03/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1445 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.5m/s 490 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 03/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1513 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.38m/s 466 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 03/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1408 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.83m/s 359 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 04/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

843 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.33m/s 261 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 9.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

43.75km downwind XC or 17.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 04/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

937 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.42m/s 278 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

49.5km downwind XC or 27 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 04/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2675 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.48m/s 486 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to -1.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 15.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 04/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2448 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.65m/s 323 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

36.075km downwind XC or 9.75 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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