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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Fri 26/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1267 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.03m/s 398 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 26/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1600 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.34m/s 459 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 26/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1441 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.85m/s 363 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 26/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 27/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1314 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.08m/s 408 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 27/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1558 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.29m/s 449 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 27/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1518 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.84m/s 361 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

79.2km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 27/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 6.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 28/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1091 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.83m/s 359 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 5.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 28/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1802 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.44m/s 478 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 28/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2077 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.08m/s 408 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -1.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

48.1km downwind XC or 13 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 28/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 9.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 29/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1332 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.02m/s 396 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

61.2km downwind XC or 28.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 29/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1696 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.31m/s 453 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 29/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1581 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.76m/s 345 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 29/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 30/04/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

0.85m/s 167 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

42.5km downwind XC or 20 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 30/04/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

847 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.22m/s 239 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

35km downwind XC or 14 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 30/04/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.71m/s 139 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

18km downwind XC or 6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 30/04/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 01/05/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1354 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.17m/s 425 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 01/05/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2086 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.69m/s 527 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -9.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

79.625km downwind XC or 31.85 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 01/05/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1548 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.95m/s 382 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -5.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

45.6km downwind XC or 9.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 01/05/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 02/05/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1308 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.15m/s 421 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -6.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 02/05/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1219 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.83m/s 359 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 02/05/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1513 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.9m/s 372 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -6.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 02/05/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

5 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 03/05/2024 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 68kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

902 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

1.19m/s 233 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

10.5km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 03/05/2024 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 68kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1354 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

2.18m/s 427 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

25.8km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 03/05/2024 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 61kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1164 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.64m/s 321 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

25.2km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 03/05/2024 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 54kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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