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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Mon 02/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1450 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.5m/s 490 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 02/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1830 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.93m/s 574 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to -0.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 02/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2063 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.95m/s 578 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

104km downwind XC or 65 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 02/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2054 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.46m/s 482 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 0.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 03/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1130 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.1m/s 412 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 5.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 03/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1429 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.54m/s 498 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 03/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1827 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.73m/s 535 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 03/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1874 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.26m/s 443 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 04/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1194 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.05m/s 402 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 04/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2331 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

3.08m/s 604 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102.375km downwind XC or 40.95 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 04/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2810 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.19m/s 625 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 0.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91km downwind XC or 36.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 04/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2887 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.63m/s 515 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 0.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

79.625km downwind XC or 31.85 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1123 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.85m/s 363 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2734 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.18m/s 623 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91km downwind XC or 36.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

3243 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.31m/s 649 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to -2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

108km downwind XC or 36 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

3155 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.62m/s 514 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.875km downwind XC or 36.75 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1123 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.96m/s 384 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2685 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

3.27m/s 641 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

60.125km downwind XC or 16.25 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

3035 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

3.31m/s 649 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.125km downwind XC or 11.25 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

3165 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.62m/s 514 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

57km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1174 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.96m/s 384 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 16.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1527 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.42m/s 474 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2579 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

3.03m/s 594 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 5.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

72.15km downwind XC or 19.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2435 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.33m/s 457 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 6.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

68.25km downwind XC or 27.3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1450 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.37m/s 465 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1864 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.85m/s 559 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2406 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.02m/s 592 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2596 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.52m/s 494 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 09/02/2026 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1056 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.65m/s 323 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 09/02/2026 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1788 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.78m/s 545 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 09/02/2026 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2142 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.87m/s 563 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

104km downwind XC or 65 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 09/02/2026 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.6m/s 118 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 11.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

10km downwind XC or 1 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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