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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Wed 04/12/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1538 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.28m/s 447 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 04/12/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1737 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.54m/s 498 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 04/12/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1811 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.42m/s 474 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 04/12/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1761 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.89m/s 370 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/12/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1183 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.97m/s 386 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/12/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1883 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.63m/s 515 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/12/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2017 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.45m/s 480 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91km downwind XC or 36.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 05/12/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1878 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.87m/s 367 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91.8km downwind XC or 43.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/12/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1399 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.05m/s 402 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/12/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1781 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.47m/s 484 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/12/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1680 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.29m/s 449 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 06/12/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1402 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.53m/s 300 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 15 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

33.3km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/12/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

0.86m/s 169 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

25.5km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/12/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1407 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.33m/s 457 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

45.6km downwind XC or 9.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/12/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.94m/s 184 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 17.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

19.5km downwind XC or 3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 07/12/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

962 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.34m/s 263 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 15.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

27km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/12/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1350 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.33m/s 457 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/12/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1339 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.43m/s 476 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/12/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1472 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.41m/s 472 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 08/12/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1331 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

1.88m/s 368 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 09/12/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1349 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.23m/s 437 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 09/12/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1553 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.49m/s 488 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 09/12/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1728 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.46m/s 482 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 09/12/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1596 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.89m/s 370 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 10/12/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1440 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.29m/s 449 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 10/12/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1639 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.01m/s 394 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 10/12/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2049 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.63m/s 515 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 10/12/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1984 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.04m/s 400 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 11/12/2024 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1597 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.3m/s 451 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 11/12/2024 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1984 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.68m/s 525 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

94.5km downwind XC or 37.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 11/12/2024 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1966 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.51m/s 492 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 11/12/2024 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1829 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.95m/s 382 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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