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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Fri 23/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 6.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 23/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

0.87m/s 171 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 6.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34km downwind XC or 16 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 23/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.46m/s 90 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 6.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

8.5km downwind XC or 4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 23/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 24/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

897 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.42m/s 278 ft/min

Temperature

10 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

35km downwind XC or 14 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 24/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1162 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.81m/s 355 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34.2km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 24/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1184 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.42m/s 278 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

22.8km downwind XC or 4.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 24/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 25/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

943 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.52m/s 298 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

35km downwind XC or 14 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 25/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1348 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.94m/s 380 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34.2km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 25/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1085 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.34m/s 263 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

22.8km downwind XC or 4.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 25/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

9 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 26/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.61m/s 120 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

10km downwind XC or 1 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 26/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.59m/s 116 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9.75km downwind XC or 1.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 26/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0.35m/s 69 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 26/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 76kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

5 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 27/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1055 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.45m/s 284 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

22.8km downwind XC or 4.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 27/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1134 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.56m/s 306 ft/min

Temperature

7 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -4.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34.2km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 27/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.9m/s 176 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

18.5km downwind XC or 5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 27/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

4 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 28/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

0.4m/s 78 ft/min

Temperature

5 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

32km downwind XC or 20 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 28/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

0.43m/s 84 ft/min

Temperature

5 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

24km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 28/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

0.28m/s 55 ft/min

Temperature

6 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

24km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 28/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

5 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 29/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

962 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.47m/s 288 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

59.5km downwind XC or 28 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 29/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1287 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.78m/s 349 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 29/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

940 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.22m/s 239 ft/min

Temperature

12 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 29/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(S) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

5 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 30/05/2025 1100 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 0kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

933 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.43m/s 280 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.5km downwind XC or 55 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 30/05/2025 1300 AES

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1209 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.72m/s 337 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 30/05/2025 1500 AES

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

995 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.22m/s 239 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 3.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 30/05/2025 1700 AES

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

8 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....

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