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WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Mon 20/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1063 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.75m/s 343 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 20/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1382 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.19m/s 429 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 20/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1637 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2m/s 392 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

35.1km downwind XC or 5.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 20/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.84m/s 165 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 12.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9km downwind XC or 3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 21/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1028 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.69m/s 331 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 8.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 21/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1163 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.88m/s 368 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 21/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

960 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.32m/s 259 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66km downwind XC or 36 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 21/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

0.69m/s 135 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 15.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

48km downwind XC or 30 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 22/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

997 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.65m/s 323 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

27.75km downwind XC or 7.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 22/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 16.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 22/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 11.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 22/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 94kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 23/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1236 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.25m/s 441 ft/min

Temperature

11 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 23/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1411 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.43m/s 476 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to -0.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

84km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 23/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1463 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.28m/s 447 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

94.5km downwind XC or 37.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 23/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1331 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.71m/s 335 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 24/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1227 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.14m/s 419 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 0.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 24/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1417 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.43m/s 476 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 24/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1546 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.32m/s 455 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 24/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1482 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.79m/s 351 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

73.5km downwind XC or 29.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 25/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1289 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.09m/s 410 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 25/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1546 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.42m/s 474 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 25/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1596 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.3m/s 451 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

84km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 25/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1475 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

1.69m/s 331 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 26/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

857 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.52m/s 298 ft/min

Temperature

15 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 6.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

74.25km downwind XC or 40.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 26/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1283 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.18m/s 427 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 26/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 26/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(E) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.32m/s 63 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

16.5km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 27/10/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

0.85m/s 167 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 7.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

34km downwind XC or 16 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 27/10/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1290 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.61m/s 316 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

44.4km downwind XC or 12 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 27/10/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1286 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.2m/s 431 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 3.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

36.9km downwind XC or 1.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 27/10/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1053 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.66m/s 325 ft/min

Temperature

13 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 2.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

25.2km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....