Wecome to the Muppet Forecast!

WA Coverage - Provided by Dan Conrad

VIC, Mystic Area

Wed 10/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1290 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.13m/s 417 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 10/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1794 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.48m/s 486 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

84km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 10/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1873 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.01m/s 394 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 10/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1868 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.75m/s 343 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

45.6km downwind XC or 9.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 11/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1553 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.36m/s 463 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 11/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1522 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.45m/s 284 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 6.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 11/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1809 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

1.81m/s 355 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Thu 11/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

0%

Updraft Velocity

0m/s 0 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

0km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 12/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1571 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.47m/s 484 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

94.5km downwind XC or 37.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 12/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1517 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

1.71m/s 335 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

71.4km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 12/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1863 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.65m/s 519 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Fri 12/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2165 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.27m/s 445 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

104km downwind XC or 65 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 13/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1118 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

1.88m/s 368 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

81.6km downwind XC or 38.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 13/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1477 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.2m/s 431 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 13/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1339 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.03m/s 398 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sat 13/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(S) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

657 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.26m/s 51 ft/min

Temperature

18 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 11.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

8.5km downwind XC or 4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1010 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.14m/s 419 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 5.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1867 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.82m/s 553 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 2.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1998 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.74m/s 537 ft/min

Temperature

21 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Sun 14/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1636 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.21m/s 433 ft/min

Temperature

19 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 2.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

48km downwind XC or 4.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1244 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.3m/s 451 ft/min

Temperature

14 C It will be cold on the ground. It will be down to 1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

64.8km downwind XC or 21.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1494 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.65m/s 519 ft/min

Temperature

16 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1625 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.62m/s 514 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 0.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66.6km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Mon 15/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1536 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.12m/s 416 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 1.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

54km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(W) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1297 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.23m/s 437 ft/min

Temperature

17 C It will be cool on the ground. It will be down to 4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1667 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.64m/s 517 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 3.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1784 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.58m/s 506 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 4.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Tue 16/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1798 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.12m/s 416 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/12/2025 1100 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1457 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.28m/s 447 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/12/2025 1300 AED

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1800 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.67m/s 523 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/12/2025 1500 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2057 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.67m/s 523 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 5.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

104km downwind XC or 65 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Wed 17/12/2025 1700 AED

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 0kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1810 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.04m/s 400 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 8.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Great flying conditions for XC

Turbulent XC flying conditions

Dangerous flying conditions

Likely Poor XC flying conditions

Problems? Suggestions? Send me an email....